Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 7.207801 7.941860 8.725629 9.625972 10.633176 11.726913 13.006815
2025-11-09 5.923249 6.919195 8.055090 9.451593 11.129220 13.088281 15.561734
2025-11-16 5.033492 6.171365 7.542541 9.328108 11.608677 14.446346 18.279418
2025-11-23 4.397991 5.618368 7.159755 9.269454 12.112790 15.856089 21.230435
2025-11-30 4.004088 5.304552 7.017269 9.468935 12.938879 17.751049 25.065449
2025-12-07 3.597961 4.917026 6.717834 9.397886 13.357441 19.107879 28.307962
2025-12-14 3.222787 4.524972 6.359439 9.184813 13.521449 20.085881 31.088693
2025-12-21 2.956060 4.255340 6.139769 9.136574 13.904727 21.412251 34.571552
2025-12-28 2.800102 4.129339 6.112494 9.366760 14.731511 23.516027 39.622479
2026-01-04 2.651295 3.997565 6.059164 9.542103 15.477595 25.562875 44.865168
2026-01-11 2.488929 3.828547 5.928907 9.572694 15.974257 27.229868 49.652873
2026-01-18 2.323496 3.639552 5.747764 9.495144 16.266188 28.555775 53.976101
2026-01-25 2.160045 3.444001 5.544485 9.368527 16.472970 29.782924 58.374965
2026-02-01 2.007741 3.255134 5.336806 9.213873 16.611217 30.899898 62.744422
2026-02-08 1.877698 3.093701 5.162344 9.101241 16.814524 32.167742 67.655609
2026-02-15 1.769614 2.961607 5.027730 9.047957 17.124823 33.687961 73.395197
2026-02-22 1.708367 2.906711 5.025410 9.244011 17.955017 36.401316 82.412423
2026-03-01 1.614966 2.786977 4.894717 9.175883 18.229241 37.946505 88.879878
2026-03-08 1.511275 2.641040 4.703850 8.969010 18.183733 38.768428 93.665756
2026-03-15 1.436830 2.543853 4.597203 8.922313 18.478488 40.404535 100.892690
2026-03-22 1.400576 2.515671 4.620436 9.146512 19.401256 43.650579 113.174260
2026-03-29 1.360217 2.476624 4.618954 9.317252 20.220878 46.763257 125.757388
2026-04-05 1.307116 2.409150 4.555542 9.347064 20.712094 49.120267 136.626718